Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. Jones 7.9 · D. Goutas 7.9 · D. Fry 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections01:37Middlesbrough beat Cardiff 2-0 in the Championship matchday 10 on 3 October 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 56th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 56' I. Jones, assisted by L. Engel → 1-0; 84' E. Latte Lath, assisted by M. Forss → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Cardiff 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Middlesbrough 1.56, Cardiff 0.36; shots 11-6 (6-3 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 8-2; pass accuracy 87%-82%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.20.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
I. Jones was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 70 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 5 tackles, won 7 of 10 duels.
D. Goutas was Cardiff's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 8 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough beat Cardiff 2-0 in the Championship matchday 10 on 3 October 2023. Goals: I. Jones 56', E. Latte Lath 84'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 61%, Cardiff 39%; shots on target 6-3; expected goals (xG) 1.56-0.36.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.