Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: P. Groß 9.2 · A. Mac Allister 8.6 · D. Undav 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections03:417 January 2023: the FA Cup match ended Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Brighton scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' P. Groß → 0-1; 13' C. Akpom, assisted by R. Giles → 1-1; 29' A. Lallana, assisted by K. Mitoma → 1-2; 58' A. Mac Allister, assisted by P. Estupiñán → 1-3; 80' A. Mac Allister, assisted by P. Groß → 1-4; 88' D. Undav, assisted by S. March → 1-5.
Yellow cards: Middlesbrough 1, Brighton 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 5-19 (5-10 on target); possession 32%-68%; corners 4-3; pass accuracy 82%-93%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-3 in the second.
Standout players
C. Akpom was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, won 4 of 7 duels.
P. Groß was Brighton's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 81 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 2 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Brighton (FA Cup, 7 January 2023) finished 1-5. Goals: P. Groß 8', C. Akpom 13', A. Lallana 29', A. Mac Allister 58', A. Mac Allister 80', D. Undav 88'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 32%, Brighton 68%; shots on target 5-10.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.