Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Randolph 8.4 · R. Shotton 7.9 · J. Howson 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections06:59Middlesbrough beat Birmingham 1-0 in the Championship matchday 2 on 11 August 2018.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' B. Assombalonga, assisted by J. Howson → 1-0.
Craig Gardner (Birmingham) was sent off in the 83rd minute; yellow cards: Middlesbrough 0, Birmingham 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-11 (2-4 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 3-9; pass accuracy 70%-63%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Randolph was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 8.4 in 90 minutes: 4 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
M. Morrison was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, won 2 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Middlesbrough vs Birmingham (Championship matchday 2, 11 August 2018) finished 1-0. Goals: B. Assombalonga 12'. Match stats: possession Middlesbrough 52%, Birmingham 48%; shots on target 2-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.