Luton 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Lockyer 7.6 · C. Morris 7.5 · A. Doughty 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:12Luton beat Middlesbrough 2-1 in the Championship matchday 44 on 24 April 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Luton came from behind in the second half to win. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 40th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 40' C. Archer, assisted by M. Crooks → 0-1; 49' T. Lockyer, assisted by A. Doughty → 1-1; 67' C. Morris (penalty) → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Luton 2, Middlesbrough 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-9 (3-1 on target); possession 37%-63%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 73%-84%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
T. Lockyer was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 3 duels.
M. Crooks was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 4 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Luton beat Middlesbrough 2-1 in the Championship matchday 44 on 24 April 2023. Goals: C. Archer 40', T. Lockyer 49', C. Morris 67' (pen). Match stats: possession Luton 37%, Middlesbrough 63%; shots on target 3-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.