Leeds 3-2 Millwall
Championship · Matchweek 39Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Pablo Hernández 10.0 · L. Ayling 8.1 · T. Roberts 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections04:15Leeds beat Millwall 3-2 in the Championship matchday 39 on 30 March 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Millwall scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' B. Thompson, assisted by M. Romeo → 0-1; 34' Pablo Hernández, assisted by L. Ayling → 1-1; 55' B. Marshall (penalty) → 1-2; 71' L. Ayling, assisted by B. Douglas → 2-2; 83' Pablo Hernández, assisted by T. Roberts → 3-2.
Yellow cards: Leeds 3, Millwall 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-7 (8-3 on target); possession 68%-32%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 79%-52%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Pablo Hernández was Leeds's highest-rated player at 10.0 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 10 of 12 duels.
M. Romeo was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 7 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Leeds beat Millwall 3-2 in the Championship matchday 39 on 30 March 2019. Goals: B. Thompson 10', Pablo Hernández 34', B. Marshall 55' (pen), L. Ayling 71', Pablo Hernández 83'. Match stats: possession Leeds 68%, Millwall 32%; shots on target 8-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.