Derby 6-1 Rotherham
Championship · Matchweek 39Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Waghorn 8.6 · M. Mount 8.4 · D. Holmes 8.4
Match analysis
5 sections22:50Derby beat Rotherham 6-1 in the Championship matchday 39 on 30 March 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' M. Waghorn (penalty) → 1-0; 39' B. Johnson, assisted by S. Malone → 2-0; 42' M. Waghorn, assisted by D. Holmes → 3-0; 48' M. Mount, assisted by J. Bogle → 4-0; 53' R. Wood, assisted by J. Newell → 4-1; 62' D. Holmes, assisted by M. Mount → 5-1; 71' M. Waghorn (penalty) → 6-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 0, Rotherham 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-8 (7-4 on target); possession 68%-32%; corners 1-5; pass accuracy 83%-60%.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 3-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. Waghorn was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 81 minutes: 3 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 12 duels.
J. Newell was Rotherham's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby beat Rotherham 6-1 in the Championship matchday 39 on 30 March 2019. Goals: M. Waghorn 13' (pen), B. Johnson 39', M. Waghorn 42', M. Mount 48', R. Wood 53', D. Holmes 62', M. Waghorn 71' (pen). Match stats: possession Derby 68%, Rotherham 32%; shots on target 7-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.