Lazio 4-1 Parma
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Luis Alberto 9.7 · S. Lulić 7.7 · J. Correa 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections22:3717 March 2019: the Serie A matchday 28 match ended Lazio 4-1 Parma.
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Result and story of the match
It was 4-0 at half-time. Lazio scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' A. Marušić, assisted by S. Milinković-Savić → 1-0; 26' Luis Alberto (penalty) → 2-0; 38' Luis Alberto, assisted by J. Correa → 3-0; 44' S. Lulić, assisted by Luis Alberto → 4-0; 77' M. Sprocati → 4-1.
Yellow cards: Lazio 0, Parma 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 23-5 (8-1 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 6-5; pass accuracy 86%-78%.
Goals by half: 4-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Luis Alberto was Lazio's highest-rated player at 9.7 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 7 key passes, won 6 of 9 duels.
M. Sprocati was Parma's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 19 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 2 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Lazio beat Parma 4-1 in the Serie A matchday 28 on 17 March 2019. Goals: A. Marušić 22', Luis Alberto 26' (pen), Luis Alberto 38', S. Lulić 44', M. Sprocati 77'. Match stats: possession Lazio 54%, Parma 46%; shots on target 8-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.