AC Milan 2-3 Inter
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lautaro Martínez 8.3 · T. Bakayoko 7.8 · H. Çalhanoğlu 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections12:51AC Milan lost to Inter 2-3 in the Serie A matchday 28 on 17 March 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Inter scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' M. Vecino, assisted by Lautaro Martínez → 0-1; 51' S. de Vrij, assisted by M. Politano → 0-2; 57' T. Bakayoko, assisted by H. Çalhanoğlu → 1-2; 67' Lautaro Martínez (penalty) → 1-3; 71' M. Musacchio → 2-3.
Yellow cards: AC Milan 4, Inter 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-14 (5-5 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 89%-85%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
T. Bakayoko was AC Milan's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 10 of 16 duels.
Lautaro Martínez was Inter's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 4 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
AC Milan vs Inter (Serie A matchday 28, 17 March 2019) finished 2-3. Goals: M. Vecino 3', S. de Vrij 51', T. Bakayoko 57', Lautaro Martínez 67' (pen), M. Musacchio 71'. Match stats: possession AC Milan 55%, Inter 45%; shots on target 5-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.