Jonava 3-0 BFA
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections01:4216 October 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 27 match ended Jonava 3-0 BFA.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Jonava scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' N. Benevicius → 1-0; 10' R. Krot → 2-0; 21' N. Benevicius → 3-0.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Benevicius, R. Krot.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Jonava 29%, draw 28%, BFA 43%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Jonava beat BFA 3-0 in the 1 Lyga matchday 27 on 16 October 2026. Goals: N. Benevicius 8', R. Krot 10', N. Benevicius 21'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.