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Jonava 3-0 BFA

1 Lyga · Matchweek 27
Jonava
30
Full-timeHT 3-0
BFA
8'Benevicius10'Krot21'Benevicius
Fri 16 Oct 2026, 19:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
77%
Clearleague base 64%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Level at half-time
46%
Notableleague base 36%calibrated
retrospective miss
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · JON 29% · X 28% · BFA 43%Predicted score 0-1 · Most likely: 1-1 13% · 0-1 13% · 0-0 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

3All ›
Kick-off · 19:00
8'
N. BeneviciusGoal1-0
10'
R. KrotGoal2-0
21'
N. BeneviciusGoal3-0
Half-time 3-0
Full time 3-0

Match stats

No stats yet.

Line-ups and absences

usually −60 min
Line-ups not announced yet.Formation and the model's shift appear here once announced.
JON…
BFA…
Your predictionFull time 3-0
JON
–
BFA
–
Model: 0-1 (13%)
No prediction · Locked 19:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections01:42

16 October 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 27 match ended Jonava 3-0 BFA.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 3-0 at half-time. Jonava scored first, in the 8th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 8' N. Benevicius → 1-0; 10' R. Krot → 2-0; 21' N. Benevicius → 3-0.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: N. Benevicius, R. Krot.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Jonava 29%, draw 28%, BFA 43%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Jonava beat BFA 3-0 in the 1 Lyga matchday 27 on 16 October 2026. Goals: N. Benevicius 8', R. Krot 10', N. Benevicius 21'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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BFA · next match