Skip to content
TR

Järfälla 1-0 Piteå

Ettan - Norra · Norra - 4
Järfälla
10
Full-timeHT 1-0
Piteå
10'T
Järfällavallen, JärfällaSun 26 Apr 2026, 17:00capacity 1,500

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
72%
Clearleague base 58%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Järfälla win
53%±12
Notableleague base 43%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · JÄR 53% · X 25% · PIT 22%Predicted score 2-0 · Most likely: 1-0 12% · 1-1 12% · 2-0 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

14All ›
Kick-off · 17:00
10'
N. Medhin TGoal1-0
41'
H. BergstromYellow card
Half-time 1-0
47'
A. HamidiYellow card
68'
J. LundbackOn · C. Berglund off
76'
A. IngemarsonYellow card
76'
P. SawerisOn · A. Hamidi off
76'
H. TinnborgOn · F. Mazanti Nyberg off
81'
O. LundmarkOn · A. Ingemarson off
82'
K. DahirOn · N. Medhin T off
82'
A. RajamohanOn · A. Wurtz off
89'
Yellow card
89'
N. AkdemirYellow card
89'
J. LundbackYellow card
90'
C. ChantarumpornOn · O. Ogestad off
Full time 1-0

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Järfälla
Coach —Bench 7
Piteå
Coach —Bench 7
Your predictionFull time 1-0
JÄR
–
PIT
–
Model: 2-0 (10%)
No prediction · Locked 17:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections00:06

26 April 2026: the Ettan - Norra match ended Järfälla 1-0 Piteå.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-0 at half-time. Järfälla scored first, in the 10th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 10' N. Medhin T → 1-0.

Yellow cards: Järfälla 3, Piteå 3.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: N. Medhin T.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Järfälla 53%, draw 25%, Piteå 22%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Järfälla beat Piteå 1-0 in the Ettan - Norra on 26 April 2026. Goals: N. Medhin T 10'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

Related matches

Järfälla · next match
Piteå · next match