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Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League · Matchweek 8
Ipswich
–
Fri 23 Oct 2026, 22:00
Nottingham Forest
Match outcome probabilitypre-match
Ipswich
42%±4
Draw
26%±1
Nottingham Forest
32%±4

±: confidence range

Locked: 23 Oct 04:00

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Most likely scores
1-112%
2-19%
1-08%

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

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Why this forecast?· The 5 factors that moved the model most

Model explanations are currently available in Turkish only.

Ipswich hücumu kendi ligi ortalamasından %27 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
İç saha avantajı: Ipswich'ın gol beklentisini %22 artırıyor
Nottingham Forest savunması kendi ligi ortalamasından %21 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
Nottingham Forest hücumu kendi ligi ortalamasından %13 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
Ipswich savunması kendi ligi ortalamasından %3 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

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Match summary

Friday 23 October 2026, 19:00 UTC: Ipswich host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League matchday 8. Venue: Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk. Referee: Thomas Bramall. The statistical model estimate: Ipswich win 42% (80% interval 38%–47%), draw 26%, Nottingham Forest win 32%. Most likely single score: 1-1 (12%). Chance of 3+ goals: 56%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 01:00 UTC and will be scored publicly in our track record.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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