Fenerbahçe 3-1 Başakşehir
Super Lig · Matchweek 16Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Y. En-Nesyri 8.3 · E. Džeko 8.2 · F. Kostić 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections12:04Fenerbahçe beat Başakşehir 3-1 in the Süper Lig matchday 16 on 15 December 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Fenerbahçe scored first, in the 41st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 41' E. Džeko, assisted by S. Szymański → 1-0; 59' K. Piątek, assisted by O. Kemen → 1-1; 74' Y. En-Nesyri, assisted by D. Tadić → 2-1; 90' Y. En-Nesyri, assisted by F. Kostić → 3-1.
Ousseynou Ba (Başakşehir) was sent off in the 45th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Fenerbahçe 1, Başakşehir 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Fenerbahçe 1.21, Başakşehir 0.64; shots 22-2 (7-1 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 14-0; pass accuracy 81%-70%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.57.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Y. En-Nesyri was Fenerbahçe's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 27 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 2 of 6 duels.
O. Kemen was Başakşehir's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 6 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Fenerbahçe beat Başakşehir 3-1 in the Süper Lig matchday 16 on 15 December 2024. Goals: E. Džeko 41', K. Piątek 59', Y. En-Nesyri 74', Y. En-Nesyri 90'. Match stats: possession Fenerbahçe 63%, Başakşehir 37%; shots on target 7-1; expected goals (xG) 1.21-0.64.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.