FA 2000 1-1 Naestved
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections04:2310 October 2026: the 2. Division matchday 11 match ended FA 2000 1-1 Naestved.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. FA 2000 levelled after the break. Naestved scored first, in the 38th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 38' M. Rugaard → 0-1; 90+4' W. Ravn → 1-1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: M. Rugaard, W. Ravn.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): FA 2000 35%, draw 28%, Naestved 37%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
FA 2000 drew with Naestved 1-1 in the 2. Division matchday 11 on 10 October 2026. Goals: M. Rugaard 38', W. Ravn 90+4'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.