Derby 1-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Hugill 7.3 · H. Wilson 7.2 · D. Batth 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections23:19Derby drew with Middlesbrough 1-1 in the Championship matchday 26 on 1 January 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Middlesbrough levelled after the break. Derby scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' H. Wilson, assisted by J. Marriott → 1-0; 52' J. Hugill, assisted by G. Friend → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 0, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-11 (2-2 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 4-5; pass accuracy 75%-62%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Wilson was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 49 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 2 of 2 duels.
J. Hugill was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 87 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 12 of 20 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 26, 1 January 2019) finished 1-1. Goals: H. Wilson 2', J. Hugill 52'. Match stats: possession Derby 62%, Middlesbrough 38%; shots on target 2-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.