Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Gregory 7.6 · A. Dijksteel 7.5 · M. Clarke 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections23:5313 February 2021: the Championship matchday 29 match ended Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 15th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 15' L. Gregory, assisted by L. Buchanan → 1-0; 32' C. Kazim-Richards, assisted by L. Gregory → 2-0; 38' N. Kebano → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 2, Middlesbrough 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-7 (5-2 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 3-1; pass accuracy 54%-68%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Gregory was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 74 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 6 of 19 duels.
A. Dijksteel was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 5 tackles, won 10 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 February 2021: the Championship matchday 29 match ended Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough. Goals: L. Gregory 15', C. Kazim-Richards 32', N. Kebano 38'. Match stats: possession Derby 41%, Middlesbrough 59%; shots on target 5-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.