Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Widell Zetterström 8.5 · B. Clark 7.9 · H. Hackney 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections02:52Derby beat Middlesbrough 1-0 in the Championship matchday 25 on 1 January 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Derby scored first, in the 70th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 70' B. Clark, assisted by L. Salvesen → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Derby 2, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Derby 1.22, Middlesbrough 1.32; shots 7-19 (3-5 on target); possession 32%-68%; corners 4-9; pass accuracy 73%-88%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Widell Zetterström was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 3 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 25, 1 January 2026) finished 1-0. Goals: B. Clark 70'. Match stats: possession Derby 32%, Middlesbrough 68%; shots on target 3-5; expected goals (xG) 1.22-1.32.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.