Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Vickers 8.3 · K. Jackson 7.6 · H. Hackney 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections17:4417 August 2024: the Championship matchday 2 match ended Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' K. Jackson → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Derby 3, Middlesbrough 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Derby 1.05, Middlesbrough 1.55; shots 3-20 (2-4 on target); possession 29%-71%; corners 3-8; pass accuracy 69%-88%.
Middlesbrough created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Vickers was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 4 saves, won 1 of 2 duels.
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 89 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Middlesbrough (Championship matchday 2, 17 August 2024) finished 1-0. Goals: K. Jackson 14'. Match stats: possession Derby 29%, Middlesbrough 71%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 1.05-1.55.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.