Coventry 3-1 Middlesbrough
Championship · Matchweek 32Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Wright 9.7 · H. Hackney 7.6 · M. van Ewijk 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections03:4716 February 2026: the Championship matchday 32 match ended Coventry 3-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Coventry scored first, in the 21st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 21' H. Wright, assisted by J. Rudoni → 1-0; 55' H. Wright, assisted by C. Rushworth → 2-0; 67' R. McGree → 2-1; 71' H. Wright (penalty) → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Coventry 3, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Coventry 1.79, Middlesbrough 1.17; shots 9-17 (4-4 on target); possession 29%-71%; corners 3-2; pass accuracy 69%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.62.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Wright was Coventry's highest-rated player at 9.7 in 82 minutes: 3 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 4 of 7 duels.
H. Hackney was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 February 2026: the Championship matchday 32 match ended Coventry 3-1 Middlesbrough. Goals: H. Wright 21', H. Wright 55', R. McGree 67', H. Wright 71' (pen). Match stats: possession Coventry 29%, Middlesbrough 71%; shots on target 4-4; expected goals (xG) 1.79-1.17.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.