Celtic 1-2 Hibernian
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: K. Tierney 8.3 · W. O'Hora 7.9 · F. Passlack 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections00:46Celtic lost to Hibernian 1-2 in the Premiership on 22 February 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Hibernian scored first, in the 24th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 24' F. Passlack, assisted by N. Cadden → 0-1; 45' B. Nygren, assisted by K. Tierney → 1-1; 87' K. Andrews, assisted by A. Suto → 1-2.
Auston Trusty (Celtic) was sent off in the 74th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Celtic 2, Hibernian 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Celtic 1.86, Hibernian 0.63; shots 21-8 (3-4 on target); possession 61%-39%; corners 11-1; pass accuracy 89%-82%.
Celtic created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
K. Tierney was Celtic's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 69 minutes: 1 assist, 4 key passes, won 3 of 5 duels.
F. Passlack was Hibernian's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Celtic lost to Hibernian 1-2 in the Premiership on 22 February 2026. Goals: F. Passlack 24', B. Nygren 45', K. Andrews 87'. Match stats: possession Celtic 61%, Hibernian 39%; shots on target 3-4; expected goals (xG) 1.86-0.63.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.