Cardiff 1-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Robinson 7.9 · C. Archer 7.9 · R. McGree 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections22:5311 February 2023: the Championship matchday 31 match ended Cardiff 1-3 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-2 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' M. Forss, assisted by C. Archer → 0-1; 25' S. Kaba, assisted by C. Robinson → 1-1; 38' C. Archer, assisted by H. Hackney → 1-2; 90' R. McGree, assisted by M. Crooks → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Cardiff 0, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-11 (4-3 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 68%-78%.
Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
C. Robinson was Cardiff's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 2 key passes, won 6 of 9 duels.
C. Archer was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 79 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 2 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
11 February 2023: the Championship matchday 31 match ended Cardiff 1-3 Middlesbrough. Goals: M. Forss 17', S. Kaba 25', C. Archer 38', R. McGree 90'. Match stats: possession Cardiff 38%, Middlesbrough 62%; shots on target 4-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.