Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Szmodics 9.2 · A. Pears 8.2 · C. Brittain 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections22:0316 September 2023: the Championship matchday 6 match ended Blackburn 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Blackburn scored first, in the 31st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 31' S. Szmodics, assisted by H. Carter → 1-0; 49' S. Szmodics, assisted by R. Hedges → 2-0; 55' M. Crooks, assisted by M. Forss → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Blackburn 1, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Blackburn 2.18, Middlesbrough 2.56; shots 15-21 (8-6 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 5-9; pass accuracy 85%-85%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
S. Szmodics was Blackburn's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 5 key passes, won 3 of 8 duels.
S. Dieng was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, 6 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Blackburn beat Middlesbrough 2-1 in the Championship matchday 6 on 16 September 2023. Goals: S. Szmodics 31', S. Szmodics 49', M. Crooks 55'. Match stats: possession Blackburn 54%, Middlesbrough 46%; shots on target 8-6; expected goals (xG) 2.18-2.56.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.