Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Crooks 9.3 · T. Chong 7.9 · R. McGree 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:41Birmingham lost to Middlesbrough 1-3 in the Championship matchday 26 on 2 January 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 57th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 57' M. Crooks, assisted by J. Howson → 0-1; 59' M. Crooks → 0-2; 74' T. Chong, assisted by A. Trusty → 1-2; 85' C. Akpom, assisted by M. Crooks → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Birmingham 1, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-18 (1-8 on target); possession 39%-61%; corners 9-8; pass accuracy 63%-77%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-3 in the second.
Standout players
T. Chong was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 3 tackles, won 6 of 9 duels.
M. Crooks was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 7 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Birmingham lost to Middlesbrough 1-3 in the Championship matchday 26 on 2 January 2023. Goals: M. Crooks 57', M. Crooks 59', T. Chong 74', C. Akpom 85'. Match stats: possession Birmingham 39%, Middlesbrough 61%; shots on target 1-8.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.