Birmingham 2-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Fran Villalba 8.0 · D. Randolph 7.8 · D. Crowley 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections15:224 October 2019: the Championship matchday 11 match ended Birmingham 2-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Birmingham scored first, in the 33rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 33' Fran Villalba, assisted by M. Colin → 1-0; 87' Daniel Ayala, assisted by B. Assombalonga → 1-1; 89' O. Bailey, assisted by D. Crowley → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Birmingham 2, Middlesbrough 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 26-5 (8-3 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 11-3; pass accuracy 73%-73%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Fran Villalba was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 77 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 6 of 8 duels.
D. Randolph was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
4 October 2019: the Championship matchday 11 match ended Birmingham 2-1 Middlesbrough. Goals: Fran Villalba 33', Daniel Ayala 87', O. Bailey 89'. Match stats: possession Birmingham 52%, Middlesbrough 48%; shots on target 8-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.