Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Drameh 7.7 · Paik Seung-Ho 7.6 · L. O'Brien 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections15:3112 March 2024: the Championship matchday 29 match ended Birmingham 0-1 Middlesbrough.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Middlesbrough scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' R. McGree, assisted by L. Ayling → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Birmingham 0, Middlesbrough 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Birmingham 0.42, Middlesbrough 1.18; shots 9-12 (0-3 on target); possession 53%-47%; corners 3-4; pass accuracy 71%-71%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.76.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
C. Drameh was Birmingham's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 71 minutes: 3 tackles, won 7 of 8 duels.
R. McGree was Middlesbrough's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 73 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Birmingham lost to Middlesbrough 0-1 in the Championship matchday 29 on 12 March 2024. Goals: R. McGree 17'. Match stats: possession Birmingham 53%, Middlesbrough 47%; shots on target 0-3; expected goals (xG) 0.42-1.18.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.