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Atletico Torque 2-1 Progreso

Primera División · Apertura - 15
Atletico Torque
21
Full-timeHT 2-1
Progreso
35'Silvera45'Silva
Lopez12'
Estadio Centenario, MontevideoReferee E. VarelaSun 10 May 2026, 22:00capacity 60,235

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
76%
Clearleague base 70%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Atletico Torque win
54%±7
Notableleague base 41%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · ATO 54% · X 24% · PRO 22%Predicted score 2-1 · Most likely: 1-1 11% · 1-0 10% · 2-1 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

20All ›
Kick-off · 22:00
12'
0-1N. LopezGoal
31'
Ramiro LecchiniYellow card
35'
F. SilveraGoal1-1
39'
Bautista KociubinskiYellow card
45'
N. Da SilvaGoal2-1
Half-time 2-1
46'
F. PizzichilloOn · R. Lecchini off
46'
J. QuintanaOn · B. Kociubinski off
57'
G. SilvaOn · G. Trasante off
57'
J. Dos SantosOn · A. Codagnone off
67'
Juan QuintanaYellow card
68'
I. LemmoOn · N. Fernandez off
68'
D. SanchezOn · M. Copelotti off
77'
J. TaranOn · S. Caceres off
79'
Franco RomeroYellow card
80'
Mauro MartínYellow card
85'
A. MunozOn · N. Da Silva off
87'
G. SilvaOn · M. Martin off
88'
Ignacio LemmoYellow card
89'
K. SilvaOn · E. Obregon off
90+2'
Federico GarcíaYellow card
Full time 2-1

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1Line-ups ›
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
Coach Marcelo MendezBench 9
Progreso
4-2-3-1
Coach Tabare SilvaBench 10
Your predictionFull time 2-1
ATO
–
PRO
–
Model: 2-1 (10%)
No prediction · Locked 22:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections23:02

Atletico Torque beat Progreso 2-1 in the Primera División on 10 May 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 2-1 at half-time. Progreso scored first, in the 12th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 12' N. Lopez → 0-1; 35' F. Silvera → 1-1; 45' N. Da Silva → 2-1.

Yellow cards: Atletico Torque 4, Progreso 3.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: N. Lopez, F. Silvera, N. Da Silva.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Atletico Torque 54%, draw 24%, Progreso 22%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

10 May 2026: the Primera División match ended Atletico Torque 2-1 Progreso. Goals: N. Lopez 12', F. Silvera 35', N. Da Silva 45'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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