Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Super Lig · Matchweek 9
Match outcome probabilitypre-match
±: confidence range
Locked: 23 Oct 02:00
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Most likely scores
1-114%
1-014%
0-013%
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
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Why this forecast?· The 5 factors that moved the model most
Model explanations are currently available in Turkish only.
Kocaelispor savunması kendi ligi ortalamasından %23 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
İç saha avantajı: Alanyaspor'ın gol beklentisini %22 artırıyor
Alanyaspor savunması kendi ligi ortalamasından %9 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
Kocaelispor hücumu kendi ligi ortalamasından %8 daha zayıf (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
Alanyaspor hücumu kendi ligi ortalamasından %3 daha iyi (zaman ağırlıklı gol+xG verisine göre)
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Goal-minute distribution and player probabilities are in Premium.Try Premium
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Match summary
Alanyaspor face Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig matchday 9 on Friday 23 October 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC. The statistical model estimate gives Alanyaspor a 40% (80% interval 36%–46%) chance of winning; draw 31%, Kocaelispor 30%. Most likely single score: 1-1 (14%). Chance of 3+ goals: 35%. The estimate was locked on 22 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC and will be scored publicly in our track record.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
