Aberdeen 1-2 Celtic
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Cameron 7.7 · Benjamin Arthur 7.6 · K. Tierney 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections18:42Aberdeen lost to Celtic 1-2 in the Premiership on 4 March 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Celtic scored first, in the 5th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 5' K. Tierney, assisted by L. Scales → 0-1; 19' K. Nisbet (penalty) → 1-1; 67' B. Nygren, assisted by J. Forrest → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Aberdeen 2, Celtic 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Aberdeen 1.42, Celtic 1.85; shots 8-18 (2-4 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 6-6; pass accuracy 73%-84%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
L. Cameron was Aberdeen's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, won 6 of 10 duels.
K. Tierney was Celtic's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 65 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 5 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Aberdeen vs Celtic (Premiership, 4 March 2026) finished 1-2. Goals: K. Tierney 5', K. Nisbet 19' (pen), B. Nygren 67'. Match stats: possession Aberdeen 38%, Celtic 62%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 1.42-1.85.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.