Wrexham 4-1 Barrow
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Fletcher 9.2 · P. Mullin 8.2 · E. Lee 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections20:07Wrexham beat Barrow 4-1 in the League Two matchday 26 on 1 January 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Barrow scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' K. Spence, assisted by B. Whitfield → 0-1; 45+9' S. Fletcher, assisted by P. Mullin → 1-1; 45+11' P. Mullin 1 → 2-1; 45+13' S. Fletcher 3, assisted by J. McClean → 3-1; 67' S. Fletcher, assisted by A. Forde → 4-1.
Yellow cards: Wrexham 1, Barrow 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 16-7 (10-3 on target); possession 59%-41%; corners 3-0; pass accuracy 78%-71%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Fletcher was Wrexham's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 70 minutes: 3 goals, 4 shots on target, won 4 of 13 duels.
E. Newby was Barrow's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 key pass, won 2 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Wrexham vs Barrow (League Two matchday 26, 1 January 2024) finished 4-1. Goals: K. Spence 1', S. Fletcher 45+9', P. Mullin 1 45+11', S. Fletcher 3 45+13', S. Fletcher 67'. Match stats: possession Wrexham 59%, Barrow 41%; shots on target 10-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.