Wolves vs Watford

Wolves and Watford meet in the Championship matchday 12 on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

Match context

The venue is Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands, capacity 34,624. The referee is Bobby Madley.

Form

Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 (WLLWD), scoring 5 and conceding 6 — 1.0 / 1.2 per match. They took 4 points from 3 home matches in that run. They kept 1 clean sheet.

Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 (LLLLW), scoring 4 and conceding 12 — 0.8 / 2.4 per match. They took 0 points from 2 away matches in that run. They kept 1 clean sheet.

Head to head

In the last 5 meetings Wolves won 4, Watford won 1 and 0 ended level. Goals: Wolves 11, Watford 3.

The most recent meeting, on 10 March 2022, finished Wolves 4-0 Watford.

Key players and absentees

Recent form singles out Fer López (2 goals in 5 matches, 1 assist, 4 shots on target, average rating 7.2) and T. Chirewa (1 goal in 2 matches, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.3) for Wolves.

For Watford, the standout performers in recent matches: H. Kyprianou (1 goal in 5 matches, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.1); L. Kjerrumgaard (1 goal in 4 matches, 2 shots on target, average rating 7.0).

Model estimate

The statistical model estimate makes Wolves favourites at 56% (80% interval 50%–60%); draw 25%, Watford 20%. Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Expected goals in the model: Wolves 1.71, Watford 0.92. Chance of 3+ goals: 49%; both teams to score: 50%. The estimate was locked on 23 October 2026 at 06:01 UTC; the last locked estimate before kick-off is scored in our public track record.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.