Wolves 2-1 Tottenham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Pablo Sarabia 8.9 · M. Lemina 8.2 · R. Aït-Nouri 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections00:06Wolves beat Tottenham 2-1 in the Premier League matchday 12 on 11 November 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Wolves came from behind in the second half to win. Tottenham scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' B. Johnson, assisted by Pedro Porro → 0-1; 90+1' Pablo Sarabia, assisted by Matheus Cunha → 1-1; 90+7' M. Lemina, assisted by Pablo Sarabia → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Wolves 4, Tottenham 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Wolves 2.15, Tottenham 0.70; shots 17-6 (4-2 on target); possession 42%-58%; corners 11-3; pass accuracy 85%-88%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.45.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Pablo Sarabia was Wolves's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 12 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 1 duels.
B. Davies was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 6 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Wolves vs Tottenham (Premier League matchday 12, 11 November 2023) finished 2-1. Goals: B. Johnson 3', Pablo Sarabia 90+1', M. Lemina 90+7'. Match stats: possession Wolves 42%, Tottenham 58%; shots on target 4-2; expected goals (xG) 2.15-0.70.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.