Wolves 2-1 Derby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: G. Saville 8.5 · J. Butterfield 7.4 · G. Thorne 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections17:09Wolves beat Derby 2-1 in the Championship matchday 34 on 27 February 2016.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Wolves scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' G. Saville, assisted by N. Byrne → 1-0; 44' C. Martin → 1-1; 86' G. Saville, assisted by M. Doherty → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Wolves 4, Derby 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 7-9 (2-4 on target); possession 43%-57%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 66%-74%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Saville was Wolves's highest-rated player at 8.5 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, won 8 of 14 duels.
J. Butterfield was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 90 minutes: 2 shots on target, won 9 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Wolves vs Derby (Championship matchday 34, 27 February 2016) finished 2-1. Goals: G. Saville 14', C. Martin 44', G. Saville 86'. Match stats: possession Wolves 43%, Derby 57%; shots on target 2-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.