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VPS 0-2 KuPS

Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 25
VPS
02
Full-timeHT 0-2
KuPS
Jyry29'Luyeye-Lutumba35'
Lemonsoft Stadion, VaasaReferee Matti RothSat 19 Sept 2026, 17:00capacity 6,000

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
78%
Clearleague base 66%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Level at half-time
46%
Notableleague base 39%calibrated
retrospective miss
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · VAA 27% · X 29% · KUP 45%Predicted score 0-1 · Most likely: 0-1 13% · 1-1 13% · 0-0 11%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

16All ›
Kick-off · 17:00
29'
0-1T. JyryGoal
35'
0-2J. Luyeye-LutumbaAssist P. Pennanen
45'
Paulo LimaYellow card
Half-time 0-2
56'
Miika NiemiYellow card
60'
Ayman AikiYellow card
62'
K. AdamsOn · A. Aiki off
62'
S. TourayOn · P. Pennanen off
69'
Oluwaseyi OgunniyiYellow card
70'
T. HamalainenOn · B. Magassa off
72'
A. RaisanenOn · P. Lima off
72'
X. OdhiamboOn · Y. Daoussi off
77'
Lassana ManéYellow card
79'
J. VahteraOn · M. Niemi off
79'
C. HolmelundOn · S. Lindholm off
90'
S. PasanenOn · T. Jyry off
90+2'
Emmanuel OkerekeYellow card
Full time 0-2

Match stats

VPS
KuPS
15
Shots
7
1
On target
4
10
Shots in box
3
%63
Possession
%37
10
Corners
4
17
Fouls
8
2
Saves
1

Starting XIs

3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1Line-ups ›
VPS
3-4-1-2
Coach Jussi NuorelaBench 9
KuPS
4-2-3-1
Coach Miika NuutinenBench 9

Standouts: J. Luyeye-Lutumba 8.1 · T. Jyry 8.0 · A. Lötjönen 7.0

Your predictionFull time 0-2
VAA
–
KUP
–
Model: 0-1 (13%)
No prediction · Locked 17:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections11:16

VPS lost to KuPS 0-2 in the Veikkausliiga on 19 September 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-2 at half-time. KuPS scored first, in the 29th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 29' T. Jyry → 0-1; 35' J. Luyeye-Lutumba, assisted by P. Pennanen → 0-2.

Yellow cards: VPS 5, KuPS 1.

Statistical comparison

Shots 15-7 (1-4 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 10-4.

Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.

Standout players

Y. Daoussi was VPS's highest-rated player at 6.7 in 72 minutes: 3 key passes.

J. Luyeye-Lutumba was KuPS's highest-rated player at 8.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 6 of 11 duels.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): VPS 27%, draw 29%, KuPS 45%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

VPS vs KuPS (Veikkausliiga, 19 September 2026) finished 0-2. Goals: T. Jyry 29', J. Luyeye-Lutumba 35'. Match stats: possession VPS 63%, KuPS 37%; shots on target 1-4.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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KuPS · next match