VPS 1-1 KuPS
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: P. Pennanen 7.7 · J. Moreno 7.7 · V. Rönnberg 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections01:1413 June 2026: the Veikkausliiga matchday 10 match ended VPS 1-1 KuPS.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. KuPS levelled after the break. VPS scored first, in the 14th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 14' L. Smyth → 1-0; 72' J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (penalty) → 1-1.
Brahima Magassa (KuPS) was sent off in the 82nd minute; Luka Smyth missed a penalty in the 26th minute; Jayden Turfkruier missed a penalty in the 83rd minute; yellow cards: VPS 3, KuPS 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) VPS 1.99, KuPS 2.30; shots 7-22 (2-4 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 2-10.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
V. Rönnberg was VPS's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 79 minutes: won 2 of 3 duels.
J. Moreno was KuPS's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 88 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 5 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): VPS 24%, draw 28%, KuPS 48%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
13 June 2026: the Veikkausliiga matchday 10 match ended VPS 1-1 KuPS. Goals: L. Smyth 14', J. J. Moreno Ciorciari 72' (pen). Match stats: possession VPS 41%, KuPS 59%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 1.99-2.30.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.