Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense
Serie A · Matchweek 31Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Matheuzinho 7.9 · Lucas Esteves 7.7 · Martinelli 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections15:2626 October 2024: the Serie A matchday 31 match ended Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Vitoria scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+1' Neris, assisted by Lucas Esteves → 1-0; 61' Lucas Arcanjo (own goal) → 2-0; 90+1' Alerrandro (penalty) → 3-0.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Vitoria 4, Fluminense 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Vitoria 1.40, Fluminense 0.62; shots 12-11 (3-4 on target); possession 50%-50%; corners 7-5; pass accuracy 86%-85%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.78.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Matheuzinho was Vitoria's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 4 key passes, won 6 of 13 duels.
Martinelli was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 7 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Vitoria vs Fluminense (Serie A matchday 31, 26 October 2024) finished 2-1. Goals: Neris 45+1', Lucas Arcanjo 61' (o.g.), Alerrandro 90+1' (pen). Match stats: possession Vitoria 50%, Fluminense 50%; shots on target 3-4; expected goals (xG) 1.40-0.62.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.