Vila Nova 2-2 Cuiaba
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Juan Christian 8.9 · Gabriel Poveda 7.9 · Alisson Safira 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections03:42Vila Nova drew with Cuiaba 2-2 in the Serie B matchday 28 on 24 September 2025.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Cuiaba scored first, in the 46th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 46' Juan Christian, assisted by Matheusinho → 0-1; 54' Joao Vieira, assisted by Guilherme Parede → 1-1; 70' Junior Todinho, assisted by Gabriel Poveda → 2-1; 78' Alisson Safira, assisted by Juan Christian → 2-2.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Vila Nova 3, Cuiaba 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-17 (5-7 on target); possession 43%-57%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 68%-82%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
Gabriel Poveda was Vila Nova's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 97 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 9 of 19 duels.
Juan Christian was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 52 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
24 September 2025: the Serie B matchday 28 match ended Vila Nova 2-2 Cuiaba. Goals: Juan Christian 46', Joao Vieira 54', Junior Todinho 70', Alisson Safira 78'. Match stats: possession Vila Nova 43%, Cuiaba 57%; shots on target 5-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.