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Uxbridge 2-1 Lewes

FA Trophy · Final
Uxbridge
21
Full-timeHT 1-0
Lewes
Sat 26 Sept 2026, 17:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
2+ goals
79%
Clearleague base 83%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Uxbridge win
58%±7
Notableleague base 44%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · UXB 58% · X 22% · LEW 20%Predicted score 3-1 · Most likely: 1-1 10% · 2-1 10% · 1-0 9%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

0All ›
Kick-off · 17:00
Half-time 1-0
Full time 2-1

No events yet.

Match stats

No stats yet.

Line-ups and absences

usually −60 min
Line-ups not announced yet.Formation and the model's shift appear here once announced.
UXB…
LEW…
Your predictionFull time 2-1
UXB
–
LEW
–
Model: 3-1 (7%)
No prediction · Locked 17:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

4 sections17:48

Uxbridge beat Lewes 2-1 in the FA Trophy final on 26 September 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Goals and key moments

No goals yet.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-1 in the second.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Uxbridge 58%, draw 22%, Lewes 20%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Uxbridge vs Lewes (FA Trophy final, 26 September 2026) finished 2-1.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

Related matches

Uxbridge · next match
Lewes · next match