Utrecht 2-0 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: B. Castro 7.8 · R. Leeuwin 7.7 · Robin van der Meer 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections06:2611 December 2016: the Eredivisie matchday 16 match ended Utrecht 2-0 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Heracles scored first, in the 32nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 32' M. te Wierik (own goal) → 0-1; 85' S. Haller (penalty) → 1-1.
Tim Breukers (Heracles) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Utrecht 2, Heracles 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 20-5 (8-1 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 8-6; pass accuracy 88%-78%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. Haller was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 9 of 19 duels.
B. Castro was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Utrecht beat Heracles 2-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 16 on 11 December 2016. Goals: M. te Wierik 32' (o.g.), S. Haller 85' (pen). Match stats: possession Utrecht 62%, Heracles 38%; shots on target 8-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.