Utrecht 4-0 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Zechiël 8.9 · Y. Cathline 8.3 · M. van der Hoorn 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections02:0310 August 2025: the Eredivisie matchday 1 match ended Utrecht 4-0 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Utrecht scored first, in the 33rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 33' G. Zechiel, assisted by Y. Cathline → 1-0; 62' D. Min → 2-0; 70' V. Jensen, assisted by Y. Cathline → 3-0; 79' D. de Wit, assisted by D. Murkin → 4-0.
Yellow cards: Utrecht 1, Heracles 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Utrecht 2.34, Heracles 0.88; shots 18-10 (7-3 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 79%-80%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.46.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Zechiël was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 5 of 7 duels.
J. Žambůrek was Heracles's highest-rated player at 6.7 in 58 minutes: 2 key passes, won 4 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
10 August 2025: the Eredivisie matchday 1 match ended Utrecht 4-0 Heracles. Goals: G. Zechiel 33', D. Min 62', V. Jensen 70', D. de Wit 79'. Match stats: possession Utrecht 48%, Heracles 52%; shots on target 7-3; expected goals (xG) 2.34-0.88.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.