Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: P. Aaronson 8.9 · S. El Karouani 8.2 · S. Horemans 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:438 November 2024: the Eredivisie matchday 12 match ended Utrecht 1-0 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Utrecht scored first, in the 67th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 67' P. Aaronson → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Utrecht 0, Heracles 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Utrecht 2.73, Heracles 0.87; shots 18-10 (6-2 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 4-8; pass accuracy 81%-77%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.86.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
P. Aaronson was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 6 tackles, won 9 of 15 duels.
F. de Keijzer was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Utrecht beat Heracles 1-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 12 on 8 November 2024. Goals: P. Aaronson 67'. Match stats: possession Utrecht 55%, Heracles 45%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 2.73-0.87.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.