Utrecht 1-0 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. El Karouani 7.7 · O. Boussaid 7.7 · M. van der Hoorn 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections22:10Utrecht beat Heracles 1-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 23 on 23 February 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Utrecht scored first, in the 79th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 79' V. Jensen, assisted by S. El Karouani → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Utrecht 3, Heracles 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Utrecht 1.44, Heracles 0.51; shots 11-4 (3-0 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 9-3; pass accuracy 85%-78%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.93.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
S. El Karouani was Utrecht's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 5 of 10 duels.
M. Brouwer was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 90 minutes: 1 tackle, 2 saves, won 2 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Utrecht beat Heracles 1-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 23 on 23 February 2024. Goals: V. Jensen 79'. Match stats: possession Utrecht 54%, Heracles 46%; shots on target 3-0; expected goals (xG) 1.44-0.51.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.