Union Comercio 2-1 Cusco
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. de Jesús 8.3 · A. Ayarza 7.5 · Gino Guerrero 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections17:264 August 2023: the Primera División match ended Union Comercio 2-1 Cusco.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Union Comercio scored first, in the 32nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 32' M. de Jesús (penalty) → 1-0; 45+3' M. de Jesús, assisted by O. Barreto → 2-0; 88' A. Ayarza, assisted by F. Rodríguez → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Union Comercio 3, Cusco 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Union Comercio 2.78, Cusco 0.93; shots 17-10 (6-5 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 2-2; pass accuracy 81%-82%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.85.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
M. de Jesús was Union Comercio's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 4 of 13 duels.
A. Ayarza was Cusco's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 2 tackles, won 6 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Union Comercio beat Cusco 2-1 in the Primera División on 4 August 2023. Goals: M. de Jesús 32' (pen), M. de Jesús 45+3', A. Ayarza 88'. Match stats: possession Union Comercio 44%, Cusco 56%; shots on target 6-5; expected goals (xG) 2.78-0.93.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.