Tukums 2-1 Auda
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections22:4217 June 2026: the Virsliga matchday 18 match ended Tukums 2-1 Auda.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Tukums scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' B. Samoilovs → 1-0; 35' O. Rubenis → 1-1; 62' E. Oloko, assisted by B. Samoilovs → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Tukums 3, Auda 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: B. Samoilovs, O. Rubenis, E. Oloko.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Tukums 24%, draw 23%, Auda 53%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Tukums beat Auda 2-1 in the Virsliga matchday 18 on 17 June 2026. Goals: B. Samoilovs 30', O. Rubenis 35', E. Oloko 62'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.