Trofense 1-4 Leça
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections00:0712 September 2026: the Liga 3 matchday 5 match ended Trofense 1-4 Leça.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-3 at half-time. Leça scored first, in the 7th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 7' N. Reis → 0-1; 8' Diego Fernandes → 0-2; 22' J. Gunjo → 1-2; 39' D. Maneta, assisted by Cassio Scheid → 1-3; 81' David Rebelo, assisted by Diego Fernandes → 1-4.
J. Gunjo (Trofense) was sent off in the 44th minute; yellow cards: Trofense 7, Leça 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-3 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: N. Reis, Diego Fernandes, J. Gunjo, D. Maneta, David Rebelo.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Trofense 48%, draw 29%, Leça 22%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Trofense lost to Leça 1-4 in the Liga 3 matchday 5 on 12 September 2026. Goals: N. Reis 7', Diego Fernandes 8', J. Gunjo 22', D. Maneta 39', David Rebelo 81'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.