Tranmere 2-0 Oldham
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: L. McGee 7.8 · J. Ironside 7.8 · D. Jones 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections01:545 September 2026: the League Two matchday 5 match ended Tranmere 2-0 Oldham.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Tranmere scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' D. Jones, assisted by T. Ince → 1-0; 82' J. Ironside (penalty) → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Tranmere 3, Oldham 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Tranmere 1.83, Oldham 3.48; shots 9-22 (4-6 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 2-10.
Oldham created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. McGee was Tranmere's highest-rated player at 7.8 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
R. Delaney was Oldham's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: 4 tackles, won 12 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Tranmere 29%, draw 27%, Oldham 44%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Tranmere beat Oldham 2-0 in the League Two matchday 5 on 5 September 2026. Goals: D. Jones 17', J. Ironside 82' (pen). Match stats: possession Tranmere 48%, Oldham 52%; shots on target 4-6; expected goals (xG) 1.83-3.48.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.