Tranmere 1-1 Grimsby
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: N. Smith 7.9 · S. Finley 7.9 · Charlie Jay Whitaker 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections03:32Tranmere drew with Grimsby 1-1 in the League Two matchday 46 on 2 May 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Tranmere levelled after the break. Grimsby scored first, in the 43rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 43' J. Amaluzor, assisted by K. Green → 0-1; 64' N. Smith, assisted by C. Whitaker → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Tranmere 0, Grimsby 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Tranmere 0.99, Grimsby 1.15; shots 8-13 (2-3 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 4-4; pass accuracy 55%-70%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
N. Smith was Tranmere's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 7 of 7 duels.
M. Kacurri was Grimsby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 6 of 10 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Tranmere drew with Grimsby 1-1 in the League Two matchday 46 on 2 May 2026. Goals: J. Amaluzor 43', N. Smith 64'. Match stats: possession Tranmere 40%, Grimsby 60%; shots on target 2-3; expected goals (xG) 0.99-1.15.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.