Tottenham 4-1 Newcastle
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Son Heung-Min 9.3 · Richarlison 8.7 · Pedro Porro 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections00:02Tottenham beat Newcastle 4-1 in the Premier League matchday 16 on 10 December 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Tottenham scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' D. Udogie, assisted by Son Heung-Min → 1-0; 38' Richarlison, assisted by Son Heung-Min → 2-0; 60' Richarlison, assisted by Pedro Porro → 3-0; 85' Son Heung-Min (penalty) → 4-0; 90+1' Joelinton, assisted by C. Wilson → 4-1.
Yellow cards: Tottenham 1, Newcastle 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Tottenham 3.81, Newcastle 1.69; shots 23-9 (12-3 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 3-6; pass accuracy 86%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.12.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Son Heung-Min was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 9.3 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 2 assists, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 7 of 13 duels.
M. Dúbravka was Newcastle's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Tottenham vs Newcastle (Premier League matchday 16, 10 December 2023) finished 4-1. Goals: D. Udogie 26', Richarlison 38', Richarlison 60', Son Heung-Min 85' (pen), Joelinton 90+1'. Match stats: possession Tottenham 56%, Newcastle 44%; shots on target 12-3; expected goals (xG) 3.81-1.69.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.