Tottenham 2-1 Brighton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Kane 7.9 · S. March 7.9 · L. Dunk 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections11:348 April 2023: the Premier League matchday 30 match ended Tottenham 2-1 Brighton.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Tottenham scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' Son Heung-Min, assisted by I. Perišić → 1-0; 34' L. Dunk, assisted by S. March → 1-1; 79' H. Kane, assisted by P. Højbjerg → 2-1.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Tottenham 3, Brighton 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Tottenham 0.83, Brighton 1.43; shots 9-17 (3-4 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 3-7; pass accuracy 77%-87%.
Brighton created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
H. Kane was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 8 of 20 duels.
S. March was Brighton's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 6 key passes, won 3 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Tottenham beat Brighton 2-1 in the Premier League matchday 30 on 8 April 2023. Goals: Son Heung-Min 10', L. Dunk 34', H. Kane 79'. Match stats: possession Tottenham 35%, Brighton 65%; shots on target 3-4; expected goals (xG) 0.83-1.43.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.