Tottenham 1-4 Brighton
Premier League · Matchweek 38
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Hinshelwood 8.9 · D. Gómez 8.6 · B. Gruda 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections01:0325 May 2025: the Premier League matchday 38 match ended Tottenham 1-4 Brighton.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Brighton came from behind in the second half to win. Tottenham scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' D. Solanke (penalty) → 1-0; 51' J. Hinshelwood → 1-1; 64' J. Hinshelwood → 1-2; 88' M. O'Riley (penalty) → 1-3; 90+3' D. Gómez, assisted by K. Mitoma → 1-4.
Yellow cards: Tottenham 3, Brighton 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Tottenham 2.03, Brighton 2.24; shots 4-23 (2-8 on target); possession 33%-67%; corners 2-11; pass accuracy 76%-89%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-4 in the second.
Standout players
M. Tel was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 83 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 7 of 16 duels.
J. Hinshelwood was Brighton's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 4 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
25 May 2025: the Premier League matchday 38 match ended Tottenham 1-4 Brighton. Goals: D. Solanke 17' (pen), J. Hinshelwood 51', J. Hinshelwood 64', M. O'Riley 88' (pen), D. Gómez 90+3'. Match stats: possession Tottenham 33%, Brighton 67%; shots on target 2-8; expected goals (xG) 2.03-2.24.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.