Tauras 2-2 BFA
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections08:37Tauras drew with BFA 2-2 in the 1 Lyga matchday 22 on 28 August 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. Tauras scored first, in the 49th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 49' K. Gvildys → 1-0; 53' A. Sidlauskas (own goal) → 1-1; 90' J. Varelka → 1-2; 90+1' R. Shvedchenko → 1-3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: K. Gvildys, J. Varelka, R. Shvedchenko.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Tauras 54%, draw 24%, BFA 22%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
28 August 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 22 match ended Tauras 2-2 BFA. Goals: K. Gvildys 49', A. Sidlauskas 53' (o.g.), J. Varelka 90', R. Shvedchenko 90+1'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.