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Super Nova 0-2 Auda

Virsliga · Matchweek 19
Super Nova
02
Full-timeHT 0-0
Auda
Vergara50'Kone71'
Referee A. KeninsSun 21 Jun 2026, 14:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
73%
Clearleague base 65%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Auda win
55%±6
Notableleague base 35%calibrated
retrospective hit
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · SNO 20% · X 25% · AUD 55%Predicted score 0-2 · Most likely: 0-1 13% · 1-1 12% · 0-2 11%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

16All ›
Kick-off · 14:00
23'
J. VergaraMissed penalty
38'
A. GrikovsOn · I. Ndiaye off
Half-time 0-0
46'
K. SkadmanisOn · N. Pathe off
48'
R. SitjakovsYellow card
50'
0-1J. VergaraAssist B. Diedhiou
55'
J. VergaraYellow card
63'
O. RubenisYellow card
65'
N. BarkovskisOn · R. Sitjakovs off
65'
A. BaghdasaryanOn · R. Iida off
66'
A. OgunjiOn · O. Rubenis off
66'
J. GeroldOn · B. Diedhiou off
71'
0-2K. KoneAssist R. Kragliks
74'
J. CirulisOn · K. Romanovs off
80'
W. FofanaOn · H. Ibrahim off
80'
A. ArroyoOn · E. Bongemba off
88'
H. LuswekiOn · K. Kone off
Full time 0-2

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Super Nova
Coach Maksims RafalskisBench 9
Auda
Coach Didier ZanettiBench 9
Your predictionFull time 0-2
SNO
–
AUD
–
Model: 0-2 (11%)
No prediction · Locked 14:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections00:36

21 June 2026: the Virsliga matchday 19 match ended Super Nova 0-2 Auda.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Auda scored first, in the 50th minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 50' J. Vergara, assisted by B. Diedhiou → 0-1; 71' K. Kone, assisted by R. Kragliks → 0-2.

J. Vergara missed a penalty in the 23rd minute; yellow cards: Super Nova 1, Auda 2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: J. Vergara, K. Kone.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Super Nova 20%, draw 25%, Auda 55%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Super Nova vs Auda (Virsliga matchday 19, 21 June 2026) finished 0-2. Goals: J. Vergara 50', K. Kone 71'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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Super Nova · next match
Auda · next match